Aljamain Sterling vs Cory Sandhagen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record18-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight140 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cory Sandhagen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1865
If they lose-15→ 1841
If they win+15→ 1768
If they lose-9→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1775 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aljamain SterlingCory Sandhagen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aljamain Sterling70%
Cory Sandhagen 30%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Aljamain Sterling a 70% favorite over Cory Sandhagen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1753, a 103-point edge.
Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Cory Sandhagen 61%.
Aljamain Sterling and Cory Sandhagen share 3 common opponents: TJ Dillashaw, T.J. Dillashaw and Petr Yan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
WinTKO (punches) · 2022
LossDecision (Split) · 2021