Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record16-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
71"Reach64"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Henry Cejudo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1865
If they lose-15→ 1841
If they win+20→ 1790
If they lose-12→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1782 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aljamain SterlingHenry Cejudo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aljamain Sterling76%
Henry Cejudo 24%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Aljamain Sterling a 76% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1770, a 86-point edge.
Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Henry Cejudo 50%.
Aljamain Sterling and Henry Cejudo share 2 common opponents: TJ Dillashaw and T.J. Dillashaw.
Aljamain Sterling carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
WinTKO (punches) · 2022
WinTKO (punches) · 2019