Combat Edge Intelligence

Aljamain Sterling vs Hugo Viana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hugo Viana
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Hugo Viana

“Wolverine”

8-4-0BantamweightRFA

1565Solid

Tale of the tape

26-5-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamChampion Team

What's at stake

Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Hugo Viana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aljamain SterlingNow 1856
If they win+4→ 1860
If they lose-20→ 1836
Hugo VianaNow 1565
If they win+27→ 1592
If they lose-5→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.45
Sig. strikes / min
3.05
53%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.20
60%
Strike defense
58%
2.45
Takedown avg.
0.22
31%
Takedown accuracy
7%
45%
Takedown defense
50%
0.64
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aljamain SterlingHugo Viana
1600170018002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (12%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
8 (32%)
Submission
0 (0%)
14 (56%)
Decision
7 (88%)

Combat Edge model read

Aljamain Sterling89%
Hugo Viana 11%Elo baseline: 84%

The Combat Edge model makes Aljamain Sterling a 89% favorite over Hugo Viana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (84%).

Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1565, a 291-point edge.

Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Hugo Viana enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Hugo Viana 13%.

Aljamain Sterling and Hugo Viana share 2 common opponents: TJ Dillashaw and T.J. Dillashaw.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinTKO · 2022
TJ Dillashaw
LossKO/TKO · 2013
WinTKO (punches) · 2022
T.J. Dillashaw
Loss Punches · 2013