Aljamain Sterling vs Jimmie Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record23-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann
What's at stake
Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jimmie Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1865
If they lose-15→ 1841
If they win+15→ 1773
If they lose-9→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1739 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aljamain SterlingJimmie Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aljamain Sterling79%
Jimmie Rivera 21%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Aljamain Sterling a 79% favorite over Jimmie Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1758, a 98-point edge.
Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Jimmie Rivera 26%.
Aljamain Sterling and Jimmie Rivera share 1 common opponent: Petr Yan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.