Aljamain Sterling vs Jimmie Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record23-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
71"Reach68.5"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann
What's at stake
Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jimmie Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1863
If they lose-16→ 1839
If they win+16→ 1763
If they lose-8→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aljamain SterlingJimmie Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aljamain Sterling74%
Jimmie Rivera 26%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Aljamain Sterling a 74% favorite over Jimmie Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1855 to 1747, a 108-point edge.
Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Jimmie Rivera 26%.
Aljamain Sterling and Jimmie Rivera share 1 common opponent: Petr Yan.
Aljamain Sterling carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.