Combat Edge Intelligence

Aljamain Sterling vs Johnny Eduardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-5-0Record28-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Johnny Eduardo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aljamain SterlingNow 1856
If they win+5→ 1861
If they lose-19→ 1837
Johnny EduardoNow 1605
If they win+19→ 1624
If they lose-5→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.45
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
53%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.22
60%
Strike defense
63%
2.45
Takedown avg.
0.22
31%
Takedown accuracy
20%
45%
Takedown defense
59%
0.64
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Aljamain SterlingJohnny Eduardo
16001700180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (12%)
KO/TKO
10 (36%)
8 (32%)
Submission
11 (39%)
14 (56%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Aljamain Sterling92%
Johnny Eduardo 8%Elo baseline: 81%

The Combat Edge model makes Aljamain Sterling a 92% favorite over Johnny Eduardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).

Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1605, a 251-point edge.

Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Johnny Eduardo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Eduardo 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.