Aljamain Sterling vs Pedro Munhoz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record20-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71"Reach65"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Pedro Munhoz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1863
If they lose-17→ 1839
If they win+17→ 1713
If they lose-7→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aljamain SterlingPedro Munhoz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aljamain Sterling92%
Pedro Munhoz 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Aljamain Sterling a 92% favorite over Pedro Munhoz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1696, a 160-point edge.
Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Munhoz 65%.
Aljamain Sterling carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.