Aljamain Sterling vs Petr Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach67"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamArchangel Michael Club
What's at stake
Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Petr Yan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1867
If they lose-13→ 1843
If they win+13→ 1830
If they lose-11→ 1806
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aljamain SterlingPetr Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Petr Yan60%
Aljamain Sterling 40%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Petr Yan a 60% favorite over Aljamain Sterling in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aljamain Sterling's way (44%).
Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1817, a 39-point edge.
Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Petr Yan 40%.
Aljamain Sterling and Petr Yan share 1 common opponent: Sean O'Malley.
Aljamain Sterling carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.