Aljamain Sterling vs Sean O'Malley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record20-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'11"
71"Reach72″
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sean O'Malley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1867
If they lose-13→ 1843
If they win+18→ 1833
If they lose-14→ 1801
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aljamain SterlingSean O'Malley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aljamain Sterling and Sean O'Malley within a point of even.
Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1815, a 41-point edge.
Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sean O'Malley enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Malley 70%.
Aljamain Sterling and Sean O'Malley share 1 common opponent: Petr Yan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.