Combat Edge Intelligence

Allan Begosso vs Jose Maria Tome

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-1Record41-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'4"
67.5"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allan BegossoNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Jose Maria TomeNow 1608
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
3.20
40%
Strike accuracy
53%
7.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.98
34%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
2.32
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
25%
Takedown defense
33%
2
Submission avg.
2.32

Trajectory

Allan BegossoJose Maria Tome
16002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
17 (44%)
4 (40%)
Submission
15 (38%)
2 (20%)
Decision
7 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Allan Begosso66%
Jose Maria Tome 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Allan Begosso a 66% favorite over Jose Maria Tome in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jose Maria Tome's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Allan Begosso finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jose Maria Tome 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.