Combat Edge Intelligence

Allan Begosso vs Mana Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-1Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'10"
67.5"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamGlory MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Allan Begosso is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mana Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Allan BegossoNow 1607
If they win+15→ 1622
If they lose-17→ 1590
Mana MartinezNow 1578
If they win+17→ 1595
If they lose-15→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
40%
Strike accuracy
49%
7.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.94
34%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
25%
Takedown defense
25%
2
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Allan BegossoMana Martinez
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
4 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Allan Begosso61%
Mana Martinez 39%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Allan Begosso a 61% favorite over Mana Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Allan Begosso holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1607 to 1578, a 29-point edge.

Mana Martinez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Allan Begosso finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mana Martinez 80%.

Mana Martinez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.