Combat Edge Intelligence

Allan Goes vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-2Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Goes Martial ArtsTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allan GoesNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Allan GoesTuco Tokkos
15501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
6 (60%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (10%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Tuco Tokkos59%
Allan Goes 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 59% favorite over Allan Goes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Allan Goes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.

Allan Goes finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.