Allan Nascimento vs Ata Atdayev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record8-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
69"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamKharkov Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
If they win+24→ 1707
If they lose-24→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Allan NascimentoAta Atdayev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ata Atdayev59%
Allan Nascimento 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ata Atdayev a 59% favorite over Allan Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Allan Nascimento's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1683), separated by just 1 points.
Ata Atdayev enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Allan Nascimento finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Ata Atdayev 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.