Allan Nascimento vs Tagir Ulanbekov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamEagles MMA
What's at stake
Tagir Ulanbekov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Allan Nascimento carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1702
If they lose-13→ 1670
If they win+13→ 1753
If they lose-19→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Allan NascimentoTagir Ulanbekov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tagir Ulanbekov60%
Allan Nascimento 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Ulanbekov a 60% favorite over Allan Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Tagir Ulanbekov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1683, a 57-point edge.
Allan Nascimento finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.
Allan Nascimento and Tagir Ulanbekov share 1 common opponent: Cody Durden.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.