Allen Crowder vs Greg Hardy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
76,0"Reach80"
237 lbsWeight266 lbs
Team Rubao Carioca BJJTeamSkills Sport & Fitness
What's at stake
Greg Hardy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Allen Crowder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1612
If they lose-15→ 1580
If they win+15→ 1633
If they lose-17→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Allen CrowderGreg Hardy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Greg Hardy68%
Allen Crowder 32%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Greg Hardy a 68% favorite over Allen Crowder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Greg Hardy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1595, a 23-point edge.
Allen Crowder finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Greg Hardy 78%.
Greg Hardy carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.