Combat Edge Intelligence

Allen Crowder vs Greg Hardy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Greg Hardy
us

Greg Hardy

“Prince of War”

7-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record7-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
76,0"Reach80"
237 lbsWeight266 lbs
Team Rubao Carioca BJJTeamSkills Sport & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allen CrowderNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Greg HardyNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.95
Sig. strikes / min
4.79
51%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.85
Takedown avg.
0.20
33%
Takedown accuracy
33%
100%
Takedown defense
64%
1.23
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Allen CrowderGreg Hardy
1600165020182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
3 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Greg Hardy51%
Allen Crowder 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Greg Hardy a 51% favorite over Allen Crowder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1604), separated by just 10 points.

Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Allen Crowder finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Greg Hardy 86%.

Greg Hardy carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.