Combat Edge Intelligence

Allen Crowder vs Jose Augusto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76,0"ReachTBD
237 lbsWeight263 lbs
Team Rubao Carioca BJJTeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allen CrowderNow 1594
If they win+17→ 1611
If they lose-15→ 1579
Jose AugustoNow 1608
If they win+15→ 1623
If they lose-17→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.95
Sig. strikes / min
0
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
1.85
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.23
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Allen CrowderJose Augusto
160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
3 (33%)
Submission
2 (22%)
1 (11%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Augusto55%
Allen Crowder 45%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Augusto a 55% favorite over Allen Crowder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1608), separated by just 14 points.

Allen Crowder finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Jose Augusto 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.