Allen Crowder vs Justin Willis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76,0"Reach41,0"
237 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team Rubao Carioca BJJTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Justin Willis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Allen Crowder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1613
If they lose-13→ 1581
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-19→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Allen CrowderJustin Willis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Willis66%
Allen Crowder 34%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Willis a 66% favorite over Allen Crowder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Justin Willis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1594, a 63-point edge.
Allen Crowder finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Justin Willis 50%.
Allen Crowder and Justin Willis share 1 common opponent: Curtis Blaydes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.