Combat Edge Intelligence

Allen Frye vs Heath Herring

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Heath Herring
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Heath Herring

“The Texas Crazy Horse”

28-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1622Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record28-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
Brunsons MMA and FitnessTeamLas Vegas Combat Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allen FryeNow 1624
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
Heath HerringNow 1622
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
2.29
38%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.81
36%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
83%
0%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Allen FryeHeath Herring
155016001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
10 (37%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (48%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Allen Frye72%
Heath Herring 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Allen Frye a 72% favorite over Heath Herring in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1622), separated by just 2 points.

Heath Herring enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Allen Frye finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Heath Herring 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.