Combat Edge Intelligence

Allen Frye vs Jeff Hughes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeff Hughes
us

Jeff Hughes

“Lights Out”

10-4-0HeavyweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
80"Reach40,0"
265 lbsWeight253 lbs
Brunsons MMA and FitnessTeamStrong Style Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allen FryeNow 1624
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
Jeff HughesNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
38%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.67
36%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0.71
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Allen FryeJeff Hughes
15501600165020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Allen Frye70%
Jeff Hughes 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Allen Frye a 70% favorite over Jeff Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Jeff Hughes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Allen Frye finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Hughes 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.