AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Allen Frye vs Rodrigo Nascimento

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record12-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"Reach80"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Brunsons MMA and FitnessTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allen FryeNow 1624
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
Rodrigo NascimentoNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
38%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
36%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
1.02
Not available
Takedown accuracy
13%
0%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Allen FryeRodrigo Nascimento
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodrigo Nascimento61%
Allen Frye 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Nascimento a 61% favorite over Allen Frye in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Allen Frye's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1621), separated by just 3 points.

Rodrigo Nascimento enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Allen Frye finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Nascimento 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.