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Combat Edge Intelligence

Allen Holloway vs Matt Wiman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Wiman
us

Matt Wiman

“Handsome”

16-10-0LightweightUFC

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record16-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-Reach68,0"
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Michigan MMA AcademyTeamSkrap Pack

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allen HollowayNow 1603
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579
Matt WimanNow 1604
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.57
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.13
Not available
Takedown accuracy
38%
Not available
Takedown defense
56%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.54

Trajectory

Allen HollowayMatt Wiman
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
4 (100%)
Submission
5 (31%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Wiman52%
Allen Holloway 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Wiman a 52% favorite over Allen Holloway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.

Allen Holloway enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Allen Holloway finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Wiman 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.