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Combat Edge Intelligence

Allen Holloway vs Mike Breeden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-Reach70"
160 lbsWeight160 lbs
Michigan MMA AcademyTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allen HollowayNow 1603
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579
Mike BreedenNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.75
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.28
Not available
Strike defense
43%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.98
Not available
Takedown accuracy
30%
Not available
Takedown defense
68%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Allen HollowayMike Breeden
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (82%)
4 (100%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Allen Holloway52%
Mike Breeden 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Allen Holloway a 52% favorite over Mike Breeden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Breeden's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.

Allen Holloway enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Allen Holloway finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mike Breeden 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.