Allen Holloway vs Mitchell Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record2-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'9"
-Reach-
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Michigan MMA AcademyTeamThe Academy MN· 1568 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Allen Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Mitchell Wilson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1622
If they lose-29→ 1574
If they win+29→ 1555
If they lose-19→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Allen HollowayMitchell Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Allen Holloway51%
Mitchell Wilson 49%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Allen Holloway a 51% favorite over Mitchell Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Allen Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1603 to 1526, a 77-point edge.
Allen Holloway enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Allen Holloway finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.