Combat Edge Intelligence

Almir Augusto vs Neto Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"HeightTBD
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
KO Squad MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Almir Augusto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Neto Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Almir AugustoNow 1618
If they win+22→ 1640
If they lose-26→ 1592
Neto LopesNow 1585
If they win+26→ 1611
If they lose-22→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Almir AugustoNeto Lopes
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
1 (25%)
Submission
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Almir Augusto57%
Neto Lopes 43%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Almir Augusto a 57% favorite over Neto Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Almir Augusto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1585, a 33-point edge.

Almir Augusto enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Almir Augusto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Neto Lopes 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.