Combat Edge Intelligence

Almir Augusto vs Neto Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"HeightTBD
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
KO Squad MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Almir Augusto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Neto Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Almir AugustoNow 1618
If they win+22→ 1640
If they lose-26→ 1592
Neto LopesNow 1586
If they win+26→ 1612
If they lose-22→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Almir AugustoNeto Lopes
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
1 (25%)
Submission
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Almir Augusto72%
Neto Lopes 28%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Almir Augusto a 72% favorite over Neto Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Almir Augusto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1586, a 32-point edge.

Almir Augusto enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Almir Augusto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Neto Lopes 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.