Alou Camara vs Douglas Rodrigues
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Douglas Rodrigues63%
Alou Camara 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Rodrigues a 63% favorite over Alou Camara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alou Camara's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.
Alou Camara enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alou Camara finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Douglas Rodrigues 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Atch Academy· 1627 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamAstra Fight Team· 1580 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alou CamaraDouglas Rodrigues