Alptekin Ozkilic vs Ben Nguyen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record16-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReach65,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamIntegrated MMA
What's at stake
Ben Nguyen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alptekin Ozkilic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1608
If they lose-15→ 1576
If they win+11→ 1623
If they lose-13→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alptekin OzkilicBen Nguyen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Nguyen56%
Alptekin Ozkilic 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Nguyen a 56% favorite over Alptekin Ozkilic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ben Nguyen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1612 to 1591, a 21-point edge.
Alptekin Ozkilic enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ben Nguyen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alptekin Ozkilic finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Ben Nguyen 81%.
Alptekin Ozkilic and Ben Nguyen share 1 common opponent: Louis Smolka.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.