Combat Edge Intelligence

Alptekin Ozkilic vs Darren Uyenoyama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record10-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamFaito Tamashii Combat Club

What's at stake

Alptekin Ozkilic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Darren Uyenoyama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alptekin OzkilicNow 1591
If they win+15→ 1606
If they lose-17→ 1574
Darren UyenoyamaNow 1569
If they win+17→ 1586
If they lose-15→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.81
Sig. strikes / min
1.34
32%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.21
59%
Strike defense
66%
4.21
Takedown avg.
1.42
58%
Takedown accuracy
33%
75%
Takedown defense
35%
0
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Alptekin OzkilicDarren Uyenoyama
155016001650201420152016

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
1 (11%)
Submission
4 (40%)
6 (67%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Alptekin Ozkilic53%
Darren Uyenoyama 47%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Alptekin Ozkilic a 53% favorite over Darren Uyenoyama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Alptekin Ozkilic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1591 to 1569, a 22-point edge.

Alptekin Ozkilic enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alptekin Ozkilic finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Darren Uyenoyama 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.