Alptekin Ozkilic vs John Lineker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record37-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'3"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamOCS Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alptekin Ozkilic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1614
If they lose-9→ 1582
If they win+9→ 1759
If they lose-23→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alptekin OzkilicJohn Lineker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Lineker83%
Alptekin Ozkilic 17%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 83% favorite over Alptekin Ozkilic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1591, a 159-point edge.
Alptekin Ozkilic enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alptekin Ozkilic finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, John Lineker 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.