Combat Edge Intelligence

Altynbek Mamashov vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-1Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach74"
187 lbsWeight185 lbs
Ataman FCTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Altynbek MamashovNow 1697
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1697
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
Not available
Strike accuracy
53%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.02
Not available
Takedown accuracy
42%
Not available
Takedown defense
53%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Altynbek MamashovMichał Oleksiejczuk
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
10 (50%)
Submission
1 (5%)
1 (5%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk68%
Altynbek Mamashov 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 68% favorite over Altynbek Mamashov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Altynbek Mamashov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1697), separated by just 0 points.

Altynbek Mamashov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.