Alvaro Herrera vs Anas Nfaou
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-7-0Record3-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSubmission Factory MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505
If they win+24→ 1544
If they lose-24→ 1496
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alvaro HerreraAnas Nfaou
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anas Nfaou56%
Alvaro Herrera 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Anas Nfaou a 56% favorite over Alvaro Herrera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alvaro Herrera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1520), separated by just 1 points.
Alvaro Herrera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alvaro Herrera finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Anas Nfaou 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.