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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvaro Herrera vs Callum Haughian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-7-0Record2-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight149 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1722 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvaro HerreraNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505
Callum HaughianNow 1521
If they win+24→ 1545
If they lose-24→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
38%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.13
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alvaro HerreraCallum Haughian
150015502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Submission
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alvaro Herrera54%
Callum Haughian 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alvaro Herrera a 54% favorite over Callum Haughian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1521), separated by just 0 points.

Alvaro Herrera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alvaro Herrera finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.