Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvaro Herrera vs Vernon Ramos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-7-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74,0"Reach40,0"
155 lbsWeight175 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAdvance Performance Martial Arts

What's at stake

Vernon Ramos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Alvaro Herrera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alvaro HerreraNow 1521
If they win+19→ 1540
If they lose-13→ 1508
Vernon RamosNow 1594
If they win+13→ 1607
If they lose-19→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
4
38%
Strike accuracy
25%
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8
55%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
0%
1.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alvaro HerreraVernon Ramos
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Submission
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Vernon Ramos72%
Alvaro Herrera 28%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Vernon Ramos a 72% favorite over Alvaro Herrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Vernon Ramos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1594 to 1521, a 73-point edge.

Alvaro Herrera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alvaro Herrera finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vernon Ramos 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.