Alvin Hines vs Derrick Mehmen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record19-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
260 lbsWeight237 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alvin HinesDerrick Mehmen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alvin Hines70%
Derrick Mehmen 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alvin Hines a 70% favorite over Derrick Mehmen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derrick Mehmen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.
Alvin Hines enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Derrick Mehmen enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Derrick Mehmen 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.