Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Gable Steveson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record4-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"Reach74"
260 lbsWeight265 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
Gable StevesonNow 1605
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
16.29
32%
Strike accuracy
72%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.17
38%
Strike defense
61%
1
Takedown avg.
0
10%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alvin HinesGable Steveson
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gable Steveson60%
Alvin Hines 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 60% favorite over Alvin Hines in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1605), separated by just 5 points.

Alvin Hines enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gable Steveson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Gable Steveson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.