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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Jake Craig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jake Craig
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Jake Craig

“Bronson”

5-1-0Light HeavyweightUMMA

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record5-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"Reach-
260 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamShaved Bears MMA· 1598 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Jake CraigNow 1603
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.58
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
33%
Strike accuracy
Not available
7.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
39%
Strike defense
Not available
0.90
Takedown avg.
Not available
10%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alvin HinesJake Craig
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Craig55%
Alvin Hines 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Craig a 55% favorite over Alvin Hines in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alvin Hines's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.

Alvin Hines enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jake Craig 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.