Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Jhonata Diniz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record9-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74"Reach 79"
260 lbsWeight255 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamSanta Fe Team

What's at stake

Jhonata Diniz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alvin Hines carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alvin HinesNow 1630
If they win+27→ 1657
If they lose-21→ 1609
Jhonata DinizNow 1669
If they win+14→ 1683
If they lose-18→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.89
32%
Strike accuracy
56%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
38%
Strike defense
57%
1
Takedown avg.
0
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alvin HinesJhonata Diniz
1550160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jhonata Diniz62%
Alvin Hines 38%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jhonata Diniz a 62% favorite over Alvin Hines in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jhonata Diniz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1630, a 39-point edge.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jhonata Diniz 78%.

Jhonata Diniz carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.