Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Jhonata Diniz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record9-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74"Reach 79"
260 lbsWeight255 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamSanta Fe Team

What's at stake

Jhonata Diniz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Alvin Hines carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alvin HinesNow 1600
If they win+29→ 1629
If they lose-19→ 1581
Jhonata DinizNow 1672
If they win+13→ 1685
If they lose-19→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.89
32%
Strike accuracy
56%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
38%
Strike defense
57%
1
Takedown avg.
0
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alvin HinesJhonata Diniz
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jhonata Diniz60%
Alvin Hines 40%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Jhonata Diniz a 60% favorite over Alvin Hines in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Jhonata Diniz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1600, a 72-point edge.

Alvin Hines enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jhonata Diniz 78%.

Jhonata Diniz carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.