Alvin Hines vs Justin McCully
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record11-5-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
260 lbsWeight235 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamTeam Punishment
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alvin HinesJustin McCully
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alvin Hines62%
Justin McCully 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alvin Hines a 62% favorite over Justin McCully in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.
Alvin Hines enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin McCully enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Justin McCully 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.