Alvin Hines vs Karl Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach79"
260 lbsWeight247 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alvin HinesKarl Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Williams66%
Alvin Hines 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Williams a 66% favorite over Alvin Hines in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alvin Hines's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.
Alvin Hines enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.
Alvin Hines and Karl Williams share 1 common opponent: Jhonata Diniz.
Karl Williams carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.