Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Marcus Buchecha

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record5-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach80"
260 lbsWeight254 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
Marcus BuchechaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
1.70
32%
Strike accuracy
49%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.17
38%
Strike defense
51%
1
Takedown avg.
2
10%
Takedown accuracy
17%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alvin HinesMarcus Buchecha
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
3 (43%)
Submission
4 (80%)
1 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alvin Hines and Marcus Buchecha within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1593), separated by just 7 points.

Alvin Hines enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Buchecha 100%.

Marcus Buchecha carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.