Alvin Hines vs Tony Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record18-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
260 lbsWeight265 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamNashville MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alvin HinesTony Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alvin Hines55%
Tony Johnson 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alvin Hines a 55% favorite over Tony Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.
Alvin Hines enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tony Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tony Johnson 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.