Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Tony Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record18-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
260 lbsWeight265 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamNashville MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
Tony JohnsonNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
2
32%
Strike accuracy
54%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.73
38%
Strike defense
31%
1
Takedown avg.
2
10%
Takedown accuracy
22%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alvin HinesTony Johnson
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (14%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Alvin Hines58%
Tony Johnson 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alvin Hines a 58% favorite over Tony Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tony Johnson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1603), separated by just 3 points.

Alvin Hines enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tony Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tony Johnson 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.