Alvin Robinson vs Jorge Gurgel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record14-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamTeam Jorge Gurgel
What's at stake
Alvin Robinson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jorge Gurgel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1639
If they lose-19→ 1607
If they win+19→ 1583
If they lose-13→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alvin RobinsonJorge Gurgel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alvin Robinson56%
Jorge Gurgel 44%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Alvin Robinson a 56% favorite over Jorge Gurgel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Alvin Robinson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1626 to 1564, a 62-point edge.
Jorge Gurgel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alvin Robinson finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Gurgel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.