Amanda Lemos vs Machi Fukuda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-1Record11-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'0"
65"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamFreelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda LemosMachi Fukuda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Machi Fukuda60%
Amanda Lemos 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Machi Fukuda a 60% favorite over Amanda Lemos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1673), separated by just 3 points.
Amanda Lemos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Machi Fukuda enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Amanda Lemos finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Machi Fukuda 64%.
Amanda Lemos carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.