Combat Edge Intelligence

Amanda Lemos vs Marina Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-6-1Record17-6-2
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
65"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamThai Brasil

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amanda LemosNow 1684
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
Marina RodriguezNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.75
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
55%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
45%
Strike defense
56%
1.02
Takedown avg.
0.28
63%
Takedown accuracy
50%
64%
Takedown defense
63%
0.72
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Amanda LemosMarina Rodriguez
17002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
3 (20%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (27%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Amanda Lemos66%
Marina Rodriguez 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Lemos a 66% favorite over Marina Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1675), separated by just 9 points.

Amanda Lemos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Amanda Lemos finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.

Amanda Lemos and Marina Rodriguez share 6 common opponents: Gillian Robertson, Iasmin Lucindo, Virna Jandiroba and Mackenzie Dern, among 6 in total.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (6)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Gillian Robertson
LossTKO · 2025
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Iasmin Lucindo
LossDecision (Split) · 2024
LossSubmission · 2022
Jéssica Andrade
LossDecision - Split · 2024
WinSubmission · 2022
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
WinKO/TKO · 2023
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
LossSubmission · 2024
Virna Jandiroba
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Mackenzie Dern
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2021