Amanda Lemos vs Tina Black
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-1Record16-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
65"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamMSP· 1637 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amanda LemosTina Black
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Lemos67%
Tina Black 33%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Lemos a 67% favorite over Tina Black in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tina Black's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1679), separated by just 9 points.
Amanda Lemos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tina Black enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Amanda Lemos finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tina Black 44%.
Amanda Lemos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.