Amanda Nunes vs Cat Zingano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record14-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach68.00
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamZingano Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Cat Zingano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1803
If they lose-24→ 1771
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-8→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda NunesCat Zingano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Nunes83%
Cat Zingano 17%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Nunes a 83% favorite over Cat Zingano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1608, a 187-point edge.
Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Cat Zingano 64%.
Amanda Nunes and Cat Zingano share 4 common opponents: Julianna Peña, Megan Anderson, Cris Cyborg and Raquel Pennington.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.