Amanda Nunes vs Holly Holm
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record15-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Holly Holm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1804
If they lose-23→ 1772
If they win+23→ 1658
If they lose-9→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda NunesHolly Holm
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Nunes84%
Holly Holm 16%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Nunes a 84% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1635, a 160-point edge.
Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Holly Holm 53%.
Amanda Nunes and Holly Holm share 4 common opponents: Irene Aldana, Megan Anderson, Cris Cyborg and Raquel Pennington.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.