Amanda Nunes vs Irene Aldana
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record15-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamLobo Gym MMA
What's at stake
Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Irene Aldana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1805
If they lose-22→ 1773
If they win+22→ 1670
If they lose-10→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda NunesIrene Aldana
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Nunes84%
Irene Aldana 16%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Nunes a 84% favorite over Irene Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1648, a 147-point edge.
Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Irene Aldana 73%.
Amanda Nunes and Irene Aldana share 2 common opponents: Holly Holm and Raquel Pennington.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.