Amanda Nunes vs Julianna Peña
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamSikJitsu
What's at stake
Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Julianna Peña carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1804
If they lose-23→ 1772
If they win+23→ 1656
If they lose-9→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda NunesJulianna Peña
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Nunes81%
Julianna Peña 19%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Nunes a 81% favorite over Julianna Peña in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1633, a 162-point edge.
Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Julianna Peña 67%.
Amanda Nunes and Julianna Peña share 3 common opponents: Germaine de Randamie, Raquel Pennington and Valentina Shevchenko.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
WinDEC · 2017
LossSUB · 2017
LossSubmission (Armbar) · 2017