Combat Edge Intelligence

Amanda Nunes vs Lucia Szabová

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-5-0Record12-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamHanuman Gym Bratislava

What's at stake

Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Lucia Szabová carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Amanda NunesNow 1795
If they win+13→ 1808
If they lose-19→ 1776
Lucia SzabováNow 1727
If they win+19→ 1746
If they lose-13→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
2.73
Takedown avg.
TBD
55%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.70
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Amanda NunesLucia Szabová
165017001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
4 (17%)
Submission
5 (42%)
6 (26%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucia Szabová55%
Amanda Nunes 45%Elo baseline: 40%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucia Szabová a 55% favorite over Amanda Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amanda Nunes's way (40%).

Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1727, a 68-point edge.

Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Lucia Szabová enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Lucia Szabová 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.