Combat Edge Intelligence

Amanda Nunes vs Megan Anderson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-5-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
69"Reach72,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamGlory MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Megan Anderson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Amanda NunesNow 1795
If they win+9→ 1804
If they lose-23→ 1772
Megan AndersonNow 1629
If they win+23→ 1652
If they lose-9→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
1.76
52%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.35
58%
Strike defense
37%
2.73
Takedown avg.
0.52
55%
Takedown accuracy
25%
82%
Takedown defense
54%
0.70
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Amanda NunesMegan Anderson
1600165017001750180020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

13 (57%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
4 (17%)
Submission
3 (30%)
6 (26%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Amanda Nunes77%
Megan Anderson 23%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Nunes a 77% favorite over Megan Anderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1629, a 166-point edge.

Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Megan Anderson 90%.

Amanda Nunes and Megan Anderson share 2 common opponents: Felicia Spencer and Holly Holm.

Megan Anderson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Felicia Spencer
LossSUB · 2019
WinTKO · 2019
Holly Holm
LossDEC · 2018