Amanda Nunes vs Miesha Tate
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record20-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Miesha Tate carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1804
If they lose-23→ 1772
If they win+17→ 1657
If they lose-7→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda NunesMiesha Tate
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Nunes84%
Miesha Tate 16%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Nunes a 84% favorite over Miesha Tate in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1640, a 155-point edge.
Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Miesha Tate 60%.
Amanda Nunes and Miesha Tate share 2 common opponents: Holly Holm and Raquel Pennington.
Amanda Nunes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.